Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.008590 0.010111 0.011939 0.014335 0.017447 0.021434 0.027069
2025-08-31 0.006721 0.008543 0.010992 0.014654 0.020233 0.028889 0.044464
2025-09-07 0.005520 0.007342 0.009967 0.014240 0.021511 0.034534 0.063264
2025-09-14 0.004683 0.006430 0.009070 0.013646 0.022127 0.039229 0.084650
2025-09-21 0.004186 0.005911 0.008635 0.013636 0.023701 0.046620 0.121698
2025-09-28 0.003908 0.005672 0.008582 0.014255 0.026726 0.059367 0.199546
2025-10-05 0.003772 0.005633 0.008847 0.015531 0.031776 0.082180 0.401895
2025-10-12 0.003556 0.005425 0.008766 0.016077 0.035364 0.104937 0.777519
2025-10-19 0.003280 0.005077 0.008367 0.015827 0.036714 0.121385 1.340984
2025-10-26 0.003084 0.004848 0.008159 0.015960 0.039309 0.148036 3.003893
2025-11-02 0.002872 0.004565 0.007804 0.015660 0.040416 0.169658 6.765761
2025-11-09 0.002622 0.004191 0.007218 0.014664 0.038738 0.172073 10.759635
2025-11-16 0.002399 0.003865 0.006731 0.013931 0.038128 0.185179 29.851796
2025-11-23 0.002285 0.003735 0.006643 0.014247 0.041812 0.245433 252870.894372
2025-11-30 0.002129 0.003510 0.006322 0.013849 0.042440 0.282869 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001978 0.003282 0.005966 0.013278 0.042047 0.310493 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001882 0.003153 0.005813 0.013268 0.044323 0.391271 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001833 0.003113 0.005857 0.013863 0.050178 0.598349 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001821 0.003147 0.006077 0.015091 0.061053 1.204552 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001769 0.003094 0.006082 0.015615 0.068543 2.140115 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001685 0.002965 0.005883 0.015375 0.070590 2.972678 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001625 0.002882 0.005790 0.015503 0.075806 5.247553 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001551 0.002765 0.005598 0.015215 0.077443 7.851925 NaN